Analysis

Foreign Policy

Why the US economy is slowing – how it will affect the trade war and China

The following article was written before the announcement of the latest US GDP figures, which showed the US economy slowing from an annualised 3.1% growth ...
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Trade war – bad polls & bad economic numbers pressure Trump

US share markets rose sharply on news of the announcement that Presidents Xi and Trump would meet at the G20 summit – as the Financial ...
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China prepares for economic ‘prolonged war’ with Trump

‘At least two other organizations have more power over [US financial] markets than the White House. They are the US Federal Reserve and the Chinese ...
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US attempts to block Europe benefiting from China’s ‘Belt & Road Initiative’

This is an important year for Europe as economic slowdown is likely - the IMF projects EU growth will fall from 2.1% in 2018 to ...
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US is losing the battle for world public opinion to China

Gallup carries out an annual international poll on approval of the leadership of major countries. This year’s poll, covering 134 countries, had a striking conclusion - ...
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The US is learning a trade war is truly ‘lose-lose’

The new round of high-level economic and trade consultations between China and the United States started in Beijing on 21 February morning against a background whereby ...
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The new shape of world politics – disorder in the West, stability in the East

The following article on 'The New Shape of World Politics - Disorder in the West, Stability in the East' analyses the reasons for the Trump ...
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Why ‘China bashing’ is a disaster for the US people

The 2016 US Presidential election witnessed the greatest destabilisation in US politics since the Great Depression. This instability and dissatisfaction is rooted in an economic ...
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Increasing interest in Russia in China’s economic policy

A Russian translation of my article 'China Faces Slower Western Growth than in the Great Depression' has been published under the title ''China in the New ...
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Why a US-China ‘Thucydides Trap’ can be avoided

  Discussion of a supposed China-US ‘Thucydides trap’ is based on a sentence from ancient Greek historian Thucydides on the Athens-Sparta war of classical Greece: ...
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