Analysis
Foreign Policy
Why the US economy is slowing – how it will affect the trade war and China
The following article was written before the announcement of the latest US GDP figures, which showed the US economy slowing from an annualised 3.1% growth ...
Read More Trade war – bad polls & bad economic numbers pressure Trump
US share markets rose sharply on news of the announcement that Presidents Xi and Trump would meet at the G20 summit – as the Financial ...
Read More China prepares for economic ‘prolonged war’ with Trump
‘At least two other organizations have more power over [US financial] markets than the White House. They are the US Federal Reserve and the Chinese ...
Read More US attempts to block Europe benefiting from China’s ‘Belt & Road Initiative’
This is an important year for Europe as economic slowdown is likely - the IMF projects EU growth will fall from 2.1% in 2018 to ...
Read More US is losing the battle for world public opinion to China
Gallup carries out an annual international poll on approval of the leadership of major countries. This year’s poll, covering 134 countries, had a striking conclusion - ...
Read More The US is learning a trade war is truly ‘lose-lose’
The new round of high-level economic and trade consultations between China and the United States started in Beijing on 21 February morning against a background whereby ...
Read More The new shape of world politics – disorder in the West, stability in the East
The following article on 'The New Shape of World Politics - Disorder in the West, Stability in the East' analyses the reasons for the Trump ...
Read More Why ‘China bashing’ is a disaster for the US people
The 2016 US Presidential election witnessed the greatest destabilisation in US politics since the Great Depression. This instability and dissatisfaction is rooted in an economic ...
Read More Increasing interest in Russia in China’s economic policy
A Russian translation of my article 'China Faces Slower Western Growth than in the Great Depression' has been published under the title ''China in the New ...
Read More Why a US-China ‘Thucydides Trap’ can be avoided
Discussion of a supposed China-US ‘Thucydides trap’ is based on a sentence from ancient Greek historian Thucydides on the Athens-Sparta war of classical Greece: ...
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